Market History · 4 min read

The Frozen Middle: Why University Place Homeowners are Choosing HELOCs and ARMs (March 2023)

Originally published March 8, 2023 · Dominic Kramer, NMLS #1946539

A retrospective look at March 2023, where high rates locked Washington homeowners into their low first mortgages, turning the focus to HELOCs, second liens, and adjustable rate mortgages.

Dominic Kramer recording a mortgage market update in his podcast studio
Recording a Washington market update

The real estate market is stuck in what we are calling the frozen middle, a phase I am tracking closely in my archived market updates. Homeowners who locked in low interest rates a few years ago are refusing to list their properties because moving means trading a great rate for a much higher one. This has caused housing inventory to drop to historic lows, making it difficult for buyers to find homes.

Instead of giving up their cheap debt, people who need money for home improvements or debt consolidation are looking at alternative financing options. Using second liens or exploring adjustable rate mortgages allows buyers and owners to keep their primary loans untouched while managing their monthly cash flow.

Why Refinancing Your First Mortgage Right Now Makes No Sense

If you are sitting on a first mortgage with a rate well below the current market average, refinancing the entire balance is a bad financial move. Doing a traditional cash-out refinance forces you to blend your entire mortgage balance into a new, higher rate. This can add hundreds of dollars to your monthly payment for no good reason.

A better path is keeping your low first mortgage exactly as it is and taking out a home equity line of credit or a closed-end second loan for the cash you need. Before making any decisions, you can compare your refinance payment by adjusting the loan amount and interest rate inputs to see how much more a full refinance would cost you over time. Always check with a financial advisor about the tax implications of home equity debt before signing.

The Local View in University Place

This shift is highly visible in the University Place housing market. Known for its waterfront views near Chambers Bay and its highly regarded public schools, this Pierce County community attracts long-term families who rarely want to leave. Because so many local homeowners have low-rate loans, the inventory of single-family homes in this neighborhood has practically vanished.

Buyers trying to enter the market in the local area are facing high competition for the few listings that do appear. However, because overall transaction volume has dropped, sellers who are forced to move due to job transfers or family changes are becoming more cooperative. We are seeing these sellers agree to buy down interest rates or pay for buyer closing costs to keep transactions from falling apart.

Structuring a Purchase in a Tight Market

Handling a transaction during this frozen period requires a different approach to structuring your debt. Standard 30-year fixed loans are no longer the automatic default option for every homebuyer. We are looking at creative alternatives that balance the immediate monthly payment with long-term refinancing plans.

  • Assess the fixed period of an adjustable rate option to make sure it aligns with how long you plan to stay in the home.
  • Confirm the interest rate adjustment limits so you understand the maximum payment you could face.
  • Negotiate with the seller to fund a temporary rate buydown to lower your initial monthly payments.
  • Compare the costs of a standalone second mortgage against the terms of a larger jumbo loan.
  • Keep your credit profile strong so you are ready to refinance when rates eventually drop.

Questions I get about this

Why are adjustable rate mortgages becoming popular again? They offer a lower introductory interest rate compared to standard fixed-rate options, helping buyers manage their payments during a high-rate environment with the expectation of refinancing down the road.

Can I get a second mortgage at the same time I buy a home? Yes, a piggyback loan allows you to split your financing to avoid private mortgage insurance or high jumbo loan rates while keeping your primary loan structure clean.

Dom's take, written March 8, 2023

Structuring client files has become an absolute grind this month. Nobody wants to give up the loan they have, housing inventory is thin, and every single deal requires creative financing structures to make the numbers work. The upside is that sellers who truly have to move are starting to pay attention to what a buyer actually needs to close.

I am spending a lot of late nights working through spreadsheets to help clients keep their cheap first mortgages intact while getting the cash they need through second lines. If you are holding a low rate, do not let a lender push you into a full cash-out refinance without exploring these alternative options first.

What I'd say now (August 2026)

Looking back at my notes from early 2023, I was right to steer clients away from destroying their low-interest first mortgages. The homeowners who held onto their cheap debt and used second liens instead saved thousands of dollars as the market went through a slow, uneven thaw across Washington. Our local market knowledge proved far more valuable than national headlines as inventory slowly rebuilt.

However, I was partly wrong about how quickly the market would normalize. The frozen middle lasted much longer than most of us anticipated, meaning buyers who took short-term adjustable rate options had to wait quite a while before they got a realistic chance to refinance when inventory rebuilt and buyer leverage returned.

Talk it through with me

If you want to explore how to buy or extract equity without losing your current low rate, contact my team directly to discuss your options. We can complete a pre-approval in about five minutes, and our average loan closing takes 15 days or less.

TopicsMarket UpdateHELOCAdjustable Rate MortgagesPierce County

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