Market History · 4 min read

Tacoma Market Journal: The Historic Refinance Opportunity of November 2020

Originally published November 18, 2020 · Dominic Kramer, NMLS #1946539

A retrospective look at November 18, 2020, when record-low interest rates and surging equity created the ultimate window for Pierce County homeowners and veterans to refinance.

Dominic Kramer recording a mortgage market update in his podcast studio
Recording a Washington market update

We are living through an absolute frenzy in the mortgage market right now. My phone does not stop ringing with homeowners who realized their current interest rate is suddenly one or two percent higher than what we can secure today. This market journal entry serves as a direct look at the historic opportunities playing out across Washington, especially for families looking to cut their monthly housing costs.

If you bought a home anytime in the last decade, you are likely sitting on a massive refinance opportunity. With rates hovering near rock bottom, moving to a new loan term can immediately reshape your household budget. This is particularly true if you are tracking the local market shifts through our resource hub for Washington real estate to find the perfect moment to lock your pricing.

VA Refinance Opportunities in Pierce County

If you are a veteran or active-duty service member stationed at Joint Base Lewis-McChord, this market is handing you a massive financial tool. Using veteran home loan benefits right now allows you to replace your current mortgage with zero cash out of pocket and no appraisal requirements in many cases. The underwriting on these streamline refinances is designed to be incredibly fast, letting you bypass the normal processing delays that are currently clogging up conventional financing channels.

The numbers speak for themselves when you look at the potential monthly savings. If you want to see how much your payment could drop, you can calculate your monthly refinance savings by putting in your current loan balance and adjusting the interest rate input to match today's historically low pricing. I am regularly seeing Pierce County veterans cut their payments by three hundred to five hundred dollars a month, which is real money that goes back into their pocket immediately.

The Tacoma Housing Market Reality

The situation on the ground in the city of Tacoma is unlike anything we have seen before. Home inventory is virtually nonexistent, which has created a fierce bidding war on almost every single family home from North Tacoma down to South Hill. Because home values across greater Pierce County are rising at a double digit pace, homeowners are building equity at a rate that completely changes their refinancing math.

Many buyers who purchased a home in the county over the last few years with only three or five percent down are discovering they now have twenty percent equity. This means a standard rate-and-term refinance is not just about getting a lower interest rate, it is also a way to permanently eliminate monthly private mortgage insurance. Stripping that premium off your payment, combined with a lower note rate, delivers a massive double win for your monthly cash flow.

How to Prepare for a Quick Closing

Lenders across the country are completely buried in loan files right now. If you want to successfully lock in one of these historic rates, you need to have your financial paperwork organized and ready to submit the moment the pricing grid looks right. Delays in getting your documents to your loan officer can mean your rate lock expires before the underwriter can sign off on your clear to close.

To make sure your loan moves through the pipeline without getting stuck, use this checklist before you start the application:

  • Gather your two most recent paystubs showing year-to-date earnings.
  • Locate your last two years of W-2 forms and federal tax returns.
  • Download full PDF statements for all asset accounts covering the last sixty days.
  • Find your current mortgage statement and homeowner insurance declaration page.
  • Secure your Certificate of Eligibility if you are executing a VA refinance.

Questions I get about this

Do I have to pay thousands of dollars out of pocket to refinance my mortgage right now?

No, you do not need to write a check at closing. In almost every rate-and-term refinance, we can roll the closing costs directly into the new loan balance or use a lender credit to cover them in exchange for a slightly different rate. This keeps your cash in your bank account while still delivering the monthly payment drop you are looking for.

Will refinancing my loan reset my thirty-year clock all over again?

Not necessarily. While many people choose a new thirty-year term to get the lowest possible payment, you can easily opt for a fifteen-year or twenty-year term instead. If you have been paying on your current loan for three years, we can also look at custom terms to keep you on track to pay off the house exactly when you originally planned.

Dom's take, written November 18, 2020

Keeping up with mortgage applications has become a round-the-clock battle this month, but the energy is absolutely electric. I am on the phone at nine o'clock at night writing pre-approvals because properties are disappearing over a single weekend, while simultaneously helping refinance clients cut their monthly payments by hundreds of dollars. The speed of this market is exhausting, but being able to hand someone a lifetime of savings in a single afternoon makes the long hours completely worth it.

The hardest part of my day is keeping people calm enough not to throw away every basic protection they have just to win a house in Pierce County. Waiving inspections and appraisals has become standard practice, but my job is to make sure you understand the exact financial risk you are taking before you sign. If you already own your home, skipping the purchase chaos and locking in a historically cheap refinance rate is the smartest financial decision you can make right now.

What I'd say now (August 2026)

Looking back at those 2020 notes from today's perspective, I was absolutely right to push people to lock in those historic rates. We eventually ran headfirst into a massive rate shock that sent mortgage rates climbing at one of the fastest paces in modern history, which completely collapsed the refinance market and created a frozen middle. Homeowners who secured a rate under three percent back then are now sitting on a financial asset they may never want to give up.

Since that wild period, the Washington market has gone through peak competition, a steep cooling phase, and now a slow thaw that is highly uneven by county. Buyers finally have their upper hand back with actual negotiation and normal inspection periods returning to the table. If you missed out on refinancing during the pandemic era, the focus today is entirely about using smart loan structures, temporary buydowns, and program choices to make the monthly payment fit your budget.

Talk it through with me

Whether you want to review your options for a home purchase or see if a modern financing strategy makes sense for your goals, let's look at the numbers together. You can reach out to me directly to start a quick five-minute pre-approval, and we can get your loan moving toward an average closing time of fifteen days or less.

TopicsTacomaPierce CountyVA LoansRefinanceMarket Journal

Programs mentioned

  • VA Loans

    The strongest benefit in lending.

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