Market History · 5 min read

December 13, 2023: Strategy in the Frozen Middle

Originally published December 13, 2023 · Dominic Kramer, NMLS #1946539

Tracing the frozen winter of late 2023 in Chelan and Wenatchee, where home buyers and investors used second liens and seller concessions to keep their low first-mortgage rates intact.

Dominic Kramer recording a mortgage market update in his podcast studio
Recording a Washington market update

We are sitting right in the middle of a frozen real estate market today on December 13, 2023. If you already own a home with a 3% mortgage rate, you probably do not want to sell it just to buy another home at 7%, which means housing inventory has ground to a crawl.

But life does not stop just because interest rates went up. People still get married, relocate for work, and look for investment opportunities, which is why we are seeing a massive shift toward second mortgages, home equity lines of credit, and creative financing structures to keep those low-rate first liens untouched.

The Reality of the Frozen Middle

Let us look at how the math actually works when you need money for a deposit or an investment but do not want to give up your current loan. If you have a $400,000 first mortgage at 2.875% and you need $100,000 to buy an investment property, a cash-out refinance forces you to replace the entire $500,000 balance with a new rate around 7%. That mistake costs you thousands of dollars a year in unnecessary interest.

Instead, smart buyers are leaving that first mortgage completely alone and taking out a separate second mortgage or a home equity line of credit for the $100,000. You can compare your options with our refinance calculator where you can input your current first mortgage terms, add the proposed second lien payment as an extra debt, and compare it against a total cash-out refinance option.

This option helps protect your household cash flow while allowing you to move forward with your real estate goals even when rates are elevated.

The Central Washington Cabin and Investment Scene

This frozen dynamic is hitting our mountain and recreational communities in unique ways. In places like Leavenworth and Chelan, the market relies heavily on vacation rentals, second homes, and investment buyers. Because local regulations around short-term rentals have tightened up significantly in Chelan County, buying a property today requires checking the specific zoning and waiting lists before you write an offer.

In Wenatchee, we are seeing more traditional buyers compete for limited inventory while investors look for long-term rental properties. Because these markets have high seasonal tourism, buyers who use second liens to purchase investment housing are matching their financing structures to the seasonal cash flow of the region.

Strategic Steps for Buying right now

If you are trying to buy a home or expand your portfolio right now, you cannot rely on the old playbook of bidding over list price and waiving every contingency. You have to use the tools that match the current high-rate environment.

We recommend focusing on these steps to structure a smart transaction:

  • Keep your low-rate first mortgage intact and look for a standalone home equity line of credit or second lien if you need cash to close.
  • Ask the seller for a temporary interest rate buydown instead of a simple price reduction to lower your monthly payments for the first few years.
  • Verify the local short-term rental permits and regulations in Chelan County before making an offer on a recreational property.
  • Get a fully underwritten pre-approval before shopping so you can write a clean offer with a short closing timeline.
  • Negotiate for seller concessions to cover your closing costs or buy down your rate, which sellers are increasingly willing to pay.

Finding Opportunity in the Slowdown

While the lack of inventory is frustrating, the silver lining is that the buyers who are still in the market actually have room to negotiate. The days of thirty offers on a single home in Chelan or Douglas County are gone for now, meaning you can actually include home inspections and financing contingencies in your contract.

I track localized data on our market updates hub where we track local sales trends, inventory levels, and rate movements. The key is to remember that the purchase price of the home is permanent, but the financing structure is something we can adjust when the market eventually shifts.

Make sure to review rules for buying an investment property as these guidelines often require different down payments than a primary home.

Questions I get about this

Can I get a second mortgage on an investment property?

Yes, but the guidelines are tighter than they are for a primary residence. Lenders generally require higher credit scores and lower loan-to-value ratios when you are borrowing against or buying a rental property, so you will need to have more equity left in the home.

What is the difference between a HELOC and a closed-end second mortgage?

A HELOC is a revolving line of credit with a variable rate, similar to a credit card where you only pay interest on what you draw. A closed-end second mortgage gives you a lump sum of cash all at once with a fixed interest rate and a fixed monthly payment, which is often safer when rates are volatile.

Dom's take, written December 13, 2023

"We are just going to wait until rates drop back to three percent," a client told me this morning, and I had to be the one to tell them that day might never come back. Grinding is the only word for this market right now. Nobody wants to give up the loan they have, housing inventory is paper thin, and every single deal takes massive creativity to pull together.

The upside to all this friction is that sellers who truly have to move are finally starting to pay attention to what a buyer actually needs. We are getting inspections back, we are getting sellers to pay for temporary rate buydowns, and we are putting together second liens to save people's low first mortgages. If you are sitting on the fence waiting for the perfect moment, remember that waiting for rates to drop means you will be competing with fifty other buyers the second they do.

What I'd say now (August 2026)

Looking back with hindsight, I was right about the market needing a heavy dose of patience and creativity, but I did not expect just how uneven the recovery would be across different counties. Rates eventually eased off their peak in fits and starts, but the national headlines did not match what we felt on the ground in Central Washington, where local inventory stayed tight while other regions began to soften.

Today, buyer negotiating power has returned in a big way as inventory has rebuilt and days on market have stretched out. We are back in a normalizing, negotiable market where home inspections, seller concessions, and structured financing are standard parts of the deal. If I were sitting down with you today, I would emphasize that the price you pay is negotiable, but your plan for the loan structure is what actually determines your long-term success.

Talk it through with me

Whether you want to buy a vacation cabin in the Cascades or look at your refinance options, contact me directly to map out your scenario. We can go through a five-minute pre-approval to see what you qualify for, and my team works fast to get your loan funded in an average of 15 days or less.

TopicsMarket UpdateWenatcheeLeavenworthInvestment PropertyHELOC

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