A retrospective look at the historic 2020 summer seller market in Thurston County, analyzing how buyers can build competitive offers without sacrificing essential contingencies.

We are in the middle of a wild summer real estate market here in Washington, driven by mortgage rates that continue to scrape the absolute bottom. Buyers are lining up down the street for suburban homes, multiple offers are the standard, and sellers are demanding that buyers drop every single piece of protection to get their contract accepted.
If you are looking to purchase a home or expand your real estate portfolio, you do not have to put your entire financial safety at risk to win. By understanding how lenders evaluate deals and using smart transaction structures, you can stand out in a crowded offer stack without leaving yourself completely exposed. This analysis is part of our ongoing archived library of market updates analyzing local conditions.
The Battle for Thurston County Inventory
Down in Tumwater, the market has become incredibly tight. We are seeing intense competition for suburban properties, especially near the Capitol Boulevard corridor and areas with quick access to Interstate 5. Buyers from King and Pierce counties are moving south looking for more space, which drives up prices and leaves local buyers struggling to compete against cash offers or massive down payments.
Property types in Thurston County vary widely, from newer suburban subdivisions to older homes on septic systems and private wells. Waiving an inspection on a property with a private septic system in rural Thurston County is an enormous risk that can cost you tens of thousands of dollars the day after closing. Knowing the local infrastructure means you cannot treat a home here the same way you would a downtown Seattle condo.
Strategic Ways to Keep Your Contingencies
Sellers want speed and certainty, which is why they love cash and waived contingencies. To compete without giving up your safety nets, you have to find other ways to offer that same certainty. This is where process design comes into play.
Instead of throwing caution to the wind, successful buyers are using a specific set of tools to keep their protections while looking highly attractive to home sellers:
- Conduct a pre-inspection before the offer review date so you can write an offer with no inspection contingency while knowing exactly what you are buying.
- Complete a full credit underwrite, not just a basic pre-approval, so we can clear your financing hurdles before you even submit your offer.
- Use an escalation clause with a cap you are comfortable with, rather than guessing and overpaying from the start.
- Increase your earnest money deposit or make a portion of it non-refundable after the title report is approved to show the seller you are serious.
Investment Strategies in a Low-Rate Environment
Many of the people I am talking to right now are trying to buy rental properties because the math on long-term cash flow looks incredible with today's rates. When you look at an investment property loan program, the qualifying rules are different than a primary residence. Lenders look closely at the rental income of the property to help you qualify, which can make or break the deal in a competitive market.
To see how the numbers shake out on a rental, you can use our online mortgage payment calculator where you should change the down payment to twenty-five percent and adjust the occupancy type to see the estimated payment. Having those calculations locked down before you make an offer keeps you from over-extending in a bidding war. Remember, an investment is only good if the actual math works, not just the excitement of winning the bid.
Questions I get about this
Is it safe to waive the appraisal contingency if I have extra cash?
Only if you actually have the liquid cash to cover a low appraisal. If the appraisal comes back low and you waived the contingency, you must bring the difference to closing. If you do not have that cash, you could lose your earnest money, so we need to run a worst-case scenario on your cash reserves before you write that offer.
Why does a pre-inspection cost money if I might not get the house?
Yes, you pay an inspector a few hundred dollars with no guarantee of winning the bid, but that is a small price compared to buying a home with a failing foundation or a rotted roof. Think of it as cheap insurance that allows you to walk away from a money pit or write a competitive, inspection-free offer with total confidence.
Dom's take, written July 22, 2020
"If we do not waive the inspection, we are never going to get this house," a client told me last night at nine o'clock while we were revising their pre-approval letter. The market is electric right now, and my phone does not stop ringing with buyers trying to catch these bottom-barrel rates or owners saving hundreds on refinances. The energy is intense, but the hardest part of my job today is keeping people from jumping off a financial cliff just to get a key.
I get the temptation to do whatever it takes to win when you have lost out on three other houses, but my job is to look at the whole system and find the best answer. We are working late nights to get files fully underwritten upfront so our clients can write offers that are as strong as cash. If we do the heavy lifting before you find the house, we can protect your money without slowing down your deal.
What I'd say now (August 2026)
Looking back at that wild stretch of 2020, I was absolutely right to tell people to hold onto their safety nets. In the years that followed, we watched rates spike, the market freeze, and many buyers who rushed in without inspections get hit with massive repair bills they could not afford. The buyers who used structured preparation survived the transition into a higher-rate market with their finances intact, while those who panicked often ended up house-poor.
Today, we are in a much more balanced environment where real negotiations, inspection periods, and normal seller concessions are back. If I were sitting across from you today, I would tell you that the discipline we preached in 2020 is still the gold standard, but now you actually have the room to breathe and negotiate. You do not have to beg a seller to take your money anymore, and that is a healthy change for everyone in Washington.
Talk it through with me
If you are ready to look at options for your next home or investment, contact me directly to map out a clear plan. We can get you pre-approved in about five minutes and work toward our average closing time of fifteen days or less so you can make your move with confidence.
Where to go next
Programs mentioned
- Investment Property
Financing that scales with the portfolio.
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