Market History · 5 min read

Market Journal: September 15, 2021, The Quiet Strain of Peak Competition

Originally published September 15, 2021 · Dominic Kramer, NMLS #1946539

A retrospective look at the peak of the 2021 housing frenzy in Kitsap County, tracing how second-home and investor demand pushed Port Orchard prices past local wage realities.

Dominic Kramer recording a mortgage market update in his podcast studio
Recording a Washington market update

This market entry from my market updates hub captures a wild moment in Washington real estate. As of late 2021, the frenzy in the Puget Sound has pushed deep into Kitsap County, turning quiet commuter towns into battlegrounds for investors.

Buyers using an investment property loan program are competing directly with primary homebuyers, driving up prices and squeezing out locals. Sellers hold all the leverage, and the sheer volume of cash offers is forcing financed buyers to take massive risks just to get an offer looked at.

The Kitsap Shift: Port Orchard as the New Frontier

Historically, Kitsap County was where people went to find space and relative affordability. Now, the ferry system and remote work have turned Port Orchard into an extension of the Seattle metro market. We are seeing a mix of classic mid-century ramblers, newer subdivisions near Mile Hill, and waterfront properties all getting bid up.

Investors look at these properties and see rental demand driven by the nearby shipyard in Bremerton and commuters willing to take the Southworth ferry. The local property taxes are lower than King County, which makes the cash-flow math look good on paper, but the bidding wars are driving acquisition costs to levels that challenge those initial calculations.

Getting Financing on a Non-Owner Occupied Property

When you buy a rental, the rules change compared to buying a home you will live in. Underwriting looks at your debt-to-income ratio, but they also evaluate the projected rental income of the property itself. To see how these numbers affect your monthly cash flow, you can estimate your full investment payment by entering the purchase price, adjusting the down payment to twenty or twenty-five percent, and putting in the current estimated interest rate.

Lenders require you to show significant cash reserves after closing. For an investment purchase, this often means having six months of principal, interest, taxes, and insurance liquid in the bank for each property you own. Trying to scrape by with the bare minimum down payment will not work when underwriting parses your bank statements.

The Reality of Waiving Contingencies

To win an offer in this environment, buyers are waiving everything. They waive inspections, they waive title reviews, and most importantly, they waive the appraisal contingency. If the appraisal comes back low, the buyer must make up the difference in cash, which can easily ruin a deal.

Before you jump into a bidding war on a Kitsap rental, make sure you have a plan for these hurdles:

  • Analyze the local rental market to ensure your projected rent is realistic for the specific neighborhood.
  • Set aside an appraisal gap fund so a low valuation does not kill your transaction or cost you your earnest money.
  • Obtain a pre-inspection if the seller allows it, so you are not buying structural issues blind.
  • Verify the property's utility setup because many outlying areas rely on septic systems that require expensive inspections.
  • Ensure your reserves are completely liquid and documented before underwriting begins their review.

How Margin and Pricing Grids Impact Your Rate

Many investors do not realize that investment loans carry standard pricing adjustments from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. These adjustments mean interest rates are higher than those for primary residences, regardless of your credit score. Lenders package these risks differently, and corporate overhead can add extra margin to your final pricing grid.

Because I work with a lean corporate structure, I can help keep these pricing adjustments from blowing up your bottom line. It pays to look closely at the Loan Estimate rather than assuming every lender charges the exact same fees for non-owner occupied financing.

Questions I get about this

Can I use rental income from the property I am buying to qualify for the loan?

Yes, you can generally use up to seventy-five percent of the projected fair market rent to offset the new mortgage payment. Underwriting will require an appraisal report that includes a rental market analysis to verify what local tenants are paying.

How much down payment do I actually need for an investment property?

While some programs allow fifteen percent down, twenty percent is usually the practical minimum to avoid costly mortgage insurance. Putting twenty-five percent down often unlocks much better interest rate pricing from the secondary market.

Dom's take, written September 15, 2021

It surprises me how quickly sanity has left the room in this market. Clients who are perfectly qualified on paper are losing out on five, six, or seven offers in a row, even when they bid fifty thousand dollars over the asking price. I find myself spending hours on the phone talking about what a monthly payment actually feels like to a family, rather than what the underwriting guidelines technically allow.

Winning the house has stopped being the only thing worth celebrating because the cost of winning is becoming incredibly high. If you are buying a rental property in Kitsap right now, you have to ask yourself if you are chasing a good investment or just chasing the crowd.

What I'd say now (August 2026)

I was right to be uneasy back then, but I completely underestimated how fast the market would freeze when interest rates spiked. When the Federal Reserve moved aggressively to curb inflation, refinance volume vanished overnight, and those low-rate mortgages became golden handcuffs for existing homeowners. Port Orchard saw transaction volumes plummet as sellers refused to give up their three percent loans.

If I could go back to late 2021, I would tell my investment clients to hold their ground on pricing and avoid waiving appraisal contingencies entirely. Today, we are in a much more balanced market where buyers actually have room to inspect, negotiate repairs, and structure their financing without the manic pressure of five years ago.

Talk it through with me

If you want to look at a scenario or discuss how to structure your next purchase, get in touch with me directly to talk through your options. We can handle a pre-approval in about five minutes, and my files close in fifteen days on average.

TopicsMarket JournalKitsap CountyInvestment PropertyWashington Real Estate

Programs mentioned

All market history guides

Keep reading

Ready for a straight answer on your numbers?

A twenty-minute call gets you a real payment range, a cash-to-close figure, and a plan for what comes next.