Market History · 5 min read

Washington Market Journal: February 21, 2024

Originally published February 21, 2024 · Dominic Kramer, NMLS #1946539

A retrospective look at the uneven housing market recovery in early 2024, comparing negotiating power across Kitsap County and the Puget Sound.

Dominic Kramer recording a mortgage market update in his podcast studio
Recording a Washington market update

Interest rates are drifting down from their recent peaks, but the Washington housing market is reacting in highly unpredictable ways. If you look at King or Snohomish County, you might still see competitive bidding wars on clean listings because buyers are eager to jump back in.

Take a ferry ride or drive across the bridge, and the dynamic flips entirely. Sellers who were holding firm are suddenly willing to cover closing costs, which opens up massive opportunities for strategic financing. Tracking these trends in our market updates section reveals that location dictates your negotiating power more than national news does.

The Tale of Two Counties

This divergence becomes obvious when you compare the eastern side of the Puget Sound to the peninsula. In Kitsap County, we see a much more balanced environment where buyers actually have time to think. The buying frenzy of the mainland has not fully crossed the water, giving buyers a window to negotiate terms that would be rejected in Seattle.

Specifically, in Bremerton, the market character is heavily influenced by the naval shipyard, military moves, and commuters looking for relatively affordable single-family homes. Many neighborhoods here feature mid-century bungalows and craftsman homes that require regular maintenance. Sellers in these areas are increasingly open to home inspection contingencies and price adjustments, a stark contrast to the non-contingent battles happening just a short ferry ride away.

Using Equity to Adapt

Many homeowners who bought prior to the rate hikes are sitting on significant home equity but feel trapped by their current low interest rates. However, when you look at the whole financial picture, there are times when tapping into that equity makes sense. Using a cash-out refinance to consolidate high-interest debt or fund necessary home renovations can actually lower your total monthly debt payments, even if your mortgage interest rate increases.

If you want to see how these numbers shake out, you can calculate your estimated monthly payment by entering your projected loan amount, estimated interest rate, and local property tax rate into our online tool to compare your current bills against a consolidated mortgage option. It is all about looking at the net monthly cash flow rather than focusing solely on a single interest rate number. Because local tax rules and loan limits can change, always confirm current guidelines with your lender before moving forward.

Smart Strategies for Uneven Markets

Succeeding in an uneven market requires a tactical approach to your offer structure. When sellers are anxious because their homes are sitting on the market longer, you have options that go far beyond simply offering less money.

Here are the key tactics you should consider when negotiating in areas where buyers hold more negotiating power:

  • Ask for seller-paid closing cost credits to buy down your interest rate.
  • Keep your home inspection contingency intact to identify costly structural or roof issues.
  • Structure your offer with a finance contingency to protect your earnest money.
  • Look for properties that have been on the market for more than thirty days.
  • Request that the seller covers the cost of a home warranty for peace of mind.

Why Local Knowledge Trumps National Headlines

Media outlets love to paint the housing market with a broad brush, but real estate is intensely local. Federal policy affects borrowing costs everywhere, but it cannot dictate how many homes are for sale in a specific zip code.

When you work with a professional who understands the local geography, they can identify micro-markets where inventory is starting to pile up. This local variance allows us to tailor loan structures, like matching seller concessions with specific loan programs, to get you the lowest possible monthly payment.

Questions I get about this

Question: Why are sellers in Kitsap County more willing to negotiate than those in King County?

Answer: Kitsap has a different buyer pool and slightly more inventory relative to active demand. King County benefits from a high concentration of tech employers and cash-heavy buyers, keeping competition fierce, while Kitsap relies more on local wages, military transfers, and hybrid workers who face ferry schedules.

Question: Can I use seller concessions to pay for my entire down payment?

Answer: No, underwriting guidelines do not allow seller concessions to be used directly for your down payment. However, those concessions can cover your entire pool of closing costs, prepaids, and escrow setups, which dramatically reduces the total amount of cash you need to bring to the closing table.

Dom's take, written February 21, 2024

Advising clients on whether to lock their rates now or wait for a potential spring dip is the main puzzle I am solving today. I am feeling a sense of cautious optimism as inflation metrics settle, but the real story is the massive disconnect between what the national news says and what my clients are experiencing on the ground in Snohomish and Pierce counties. While some local markets are still seeing competitive bidding, others are opening up just enough to let us negotiate meaningful seller concessions.

This is exactly when local knowledge starts earning its keep again because a generic pre-approval letter is not enough to win. We have to look at the exact street, the days on market, and the seller's motivation to structure an offer that works. If you are sitting on the fence waiting for a perfect market window, you are missing the pockets of opportunity that exist right now.

What I'd say now (August 2026)

Looking back at early 2024, I was absolutely right about local variance, but I underestimated how long interest rates would remain stubbornly flat before we saw real relief. What we saw over the next two years was a substantial shift toward buyer leverage as inventory rebuilt and days on market stretched out across Western Washington. Seller concessions, which felt like a temporary hack in 2024, became a standard part of doing business.

Today, we are in a much more balanced and negotiable market where buyers regularly keep their inspection contingencies and walk away if the terms are not right. If I were coaching that same client today, I would emphasize that financing structure, discount points, and temporary buydowns drive your monthly payment far more than shaving a few thousand dollars off the seller's list price.

Talk it through with me

Every county and neighborhood in Washington moves to its own beat, and you need a loan strategy built for your target area. To find the right approach for your purchase, reach out to me directly for a quick five-minute pre-approval and a loan process designed to close your deal in fifteen days or less.

TopicsMarket UpdateKitsap CountyCash-Out Refinance
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